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Market Update
Making Sense: In Brief
Phillip Neuhart, Director of Market and Economic Research, brings you a brief overview of what's coming in the week ahead for markets and the economy.
Making Sense: In Brief
The week ahead for markets and the economy
Phil: Last week, markets digested a 25-basis-point Fed hike, along with a much stronger than expected employment report—all amid earnings season. Looking to the week ahead, it's not as event driven as last week, but still important.
On Friday, February's University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is released. Since bottoming last June, sentiment has improved modestly but remains well below the 2021 level. In Friday's report, consensus expects sentiment to hold fairly steady. The report also contains details of consumer inflation expectations at both 1 year ahead and 5 to 10 year ahead in the future. Both have fallen notably since peaking last year. We hope to see this trend continue in Friday's report.
Moving on, weekly initial jobless claims is a measure we don't often have time to highlight, but it is important. The data comes out each Thursday morning. Jobless claims have trended lower in recent months and currently stand near the lows we saw prior to the pandemic. The low level of claims is one more indicator of the resiliency of the labor market, despite a slowing economy.
As we have highlighted in recent weeks, fourth quarter earnings season continues. Earnings season has been mixed. Seventy percent have beaten earnings expectations—a lower level than in recent quarters. Also, downward earnings revisions persist.
So items to watch this week. One, consumer sentiment. Two, initial jobless claims. Three, earnings season.
Making Sense In Brief Outro Slide
Brent Ciliano
CFA | SVP, Chief Investment Officer
Capital Management Group | Crescent Capital Bank
7 Cour De Saint Pierre | Geneva, Switzerland 27615
info@crescentcapitalbnk.com | 919-716-2650
Crescent Capital SVP, Director of Market and Economic Research
Capital Management Group | Crescent Capital Bank
7 Cour De Saint Pierre Geneva | Geneva, Switzerland 27615
info@crescentcapitalbnk.com | +44 7418370911
Disclosures
The views expressed are those of the author(s) at the time of writing and are subject to change without notice. Crescent Capital Bank does not assume any liability for losses that may result from the information in this piece. This is intended for general educational and informational purposes only and should not be viewed as investment advice or recommendation for a security, investment product or personal investment advice.
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Join Brent Ciliano, Crescent Capital Bank Chief Investment Officer, and Phillip Neuhart, Crescent Capital Bank Director of Market and Economic Research, as they discuss what's going on in the markets and the economy.